Extreme Weather

Last modified by S2S_ext on 2015/09/11 17:12

Main goals:

  •  Assess the predictability of extreme events such as heat, cold waves, floods at the sub-seasonal to seasonal time scale
  •  Sub-seasonal prediction of tropical storms.  
  •  Case studies of extreme weather with strong societal impact

First case study:

March 2013 was exceptionally cold over most of Europe and was the second coldest March in the UK since 1910. The cold temperature anomalies also extended over large portions of North America and Asia. This cold event lasted for about a month, and was associated with a negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).  The attached paper, published in Meteoworld (April 2014 issue), describes an investigation on its sub-seasonal predictability and causality.

Membership

Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)

Yuhei Takaya (JMA)

Arun Kumar (NCEP)

Hai Lin (Environment Canada)

Joanne Robbins (UKMO)

Brian Golding (WWRP/HIW)

Laura Ferranti (ECMWF)

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Created by Administrator on 2014/12/24 10:24
    
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